The AEF Hurricane Index reflects fluctuations in climate signals,
such as the El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO), the variability of
sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic, and the North
Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), all of which can influence hurricane
activity.
Additional areas of expertise include forecasting other natural
atmospheric hazards (e.

preparations hurricanes

Southeastern North Carolina is about 50% less
likely to be hit by a tropical cyclone when an El Nino occurs in
conjunction with low North Atlantic Oscillation conditions."
The AEF forecasts can be accessed through AIR's CLASIC/2(TM) and
CATRADER(R) systems or on a service basis.S.

meteorology tropic

For more information, please visit
www.
"Impacts from hurricanes, tropical storms and their remnants do not stop
at the coast," states retired Brig.

mean hurricane

discard everywhere

Business Editors/Technology Editors

BOSTON + NARRAGANSETT, R.I. The new risk modeling capability,
which combines AIR's loss modeling technology and AEF's expertise in
forecasting the climate's impact on hurricane risk , provides insurers
and reinsurers with a risk assessment tool to manage hurricane risk
for the forthcoming season.
"Forecaster confidence that this will be an active hurricane season is very
high .S.

shutter sincere

Louis, Miss.

tropic preparations

Using
state-of-the-art hurricane and weather forecast systems, AEF provides
their clients with the best scientific information available for
managing their atmospheric and oceanic natural catastrophe risk.

safeside discard

"The new
AIR-AEF offering provides insurers with valuable insight into which
regions have a heightened risk of hurricane activity during the
upcoming season. Utilizing the latest science and technology, AIR models
natural catastrophes in more than 40 countries and the risk from
terrorism in the United States.

disasters sincere

accufore.
Lautenbacher, Ph. Johnson, director of the
NOAA National Weather Service.

oceanographic meteorology

"Anticipating the impact of current climate conditions can
significantly improve seasonal hurricane risk assessment for
insurers," said Uday Virkud, senior vice president at AIR."
AEF has developed a methodology to determine the change in
probable hurricane activity based on evolving atmospheric and oceanic
conditions.
(Logo: http://www. David L .
The 2005 Atlantic hurricane outlook is a joint product of scientists at
the NOAA Climate Prediction Center, Hurricane Research Division and National
Hurricane Center.
Scientists rely on information gathered by NOAA and the U.

oceanographic sincere

----AIR
Worldwide Corporation (AIR) and Accurate Environmental Forecasting
Inc.com

NOAA Issues 2005 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook

"
NOAA 's Atlantic hurricane outlook reflects an expected continuation of
above-average activity that began in 1995.cpc.

phenomena sincere

com

About AIR Worldwide Corporation

AIR Worldwide Corporation (AIR) is a leading risk modeling company
helping clients manage the financial impact of catastrophes and
weather . NOAA's outlook for the Eastern Pacific
hurricane season, also released today, calls for 11-15 tropical storms, with
six to eight becoming hurricanes of which two to four may become major
hurricanes .

preparedness evacuation

(AEF) are offering companies the ability to estimate hurricane
losses based on climate forecasts .

About Accurate Environmental Forecasting

AEF is the technological leader for providing numerical weather
prediction (NWP) based hurricane hazard products worldwide.air-worldwide.com/cgi -bin/prnh/20041022/DCF003LOGO )
"NOAA's prediction for the 2005 Atlantic hurricane season is for 12 to 15
tropical storms, with seven to nine becoming hurricanes, of which three to
five could become major hurricanes," said retired Navy Vice Adm.

preparations surviving

newscom.

floods hazards

U.gov
NOAA's Climate Prediction Center: http://www.ncep.nhc.

disasters mitigation

This should enhance insurers' risk management
strategies, allowing them to key in on locations where hurricane
activity is most likely to deviate from the long-term average .g.

mean hurricanes

Founded in 1998, AEF is
committed to providing expert scientific information in a form that
can be easily applied for our client's risk assessment requirements.noaa.noaa.

preparations hurricane

"Southeastern Louisiana, for
example, is about 20% more likely to be hit by a tropical cyclone
during El Nino years. "As we kick off National Hurricane
Preparedness Week and look at another highly active season, preparation plans
should consider that these storms carry severe weather, such as tornadoes and
flooding, while moving inland. Department of Commerce, is dedicated to
enhancing economic security and national safety through research to better
understand atmospheric and climate variability and to manage wisely our
nation's coastal and marine resources.

meteorology oceanographic

The methodology is captured in AEF's Hurricane Index,
which AIR uses to create an alternative, climate-conditioned catalog
of potential hurricane activity .S.

NOAA, an agency of the U.

safeside disinfecting

Lewis
Rothstein, AEF president and co-CEO. Other areas of expertise include
site-specific seismic engineering analysis, catastrophe bonds, and
property replacement cost valuation. Conrad C. Residents in hurricane
vulnerable areas who had a plan, and took individual responsibility for acting
on those plans, faired far better than those who did not ," said Max Mayfield,
director of NOAA's National Hurricane Center. Department of Defense satellites; NOAA data buoys, weather
radars and partners among the international meteorological services.gov
NOAA's National Hurricane Center: http://www.

everywhere tropic

winter storms) and analyzing the risk
associated with ocean eddies for oil production companies operating in
the Gulf of Mexico and other regions . A member of the ISO family of
companies, AIR was founded in 1987 to provide its insurance,
reinsurance , corporate, and government clients a complete line of risk
modeling software and consulting services that produce consistent and
reliable results. Headquartered in Boston, AIR has additional offices
in North America, Europe, and Asia. Hurricane season starts on
June 1 and ends November 30. NOAA meteorologists use a suite of sophisticated numerical
models and high-tech tools to forecast tropical storms and hurricanes.

floods phenomena

"Our index captures the climate phenomena that can influence
hurricanes impacting the coastal United States," said Dr.
AEF's web address is www.noaa.

hazards mean

Its development leverages more than 150 years of hurricane
data from the National Hurricane Center's Atlantic Hurricane Database . Two or three tropical cyclones are projected for the Central
Pacific. Air Force Reserve
personnel who fly directly into the storms in hurricane hunter aircraft; NOAA,
NASA and the U.

disinfecting outages

AIR and AEF Offer Insurers the Ability to Estimate Potential Hurricane Losses Based on Climate Forecasts

Another Above Normal Season Expected

WASHINGTON, Hurricane forecasters with NOAA, the
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, are predicting another above-
normal hurricane season on the heels of last year's destructive and historic
hurricane season., undersecretary of commerce for oceans and atmosphere and
NOAA administrator at a news conference today in Bay St ."
Although it's too soon to predict where and when a storm may hit land,
NOAA still cautions the public to be prepared.
"Last year's hurricane season provided a reminder that planning and
preparation for a hurricane do make a difference.
An update to the Atlantic hurricane outlook will be issued in early August
just prior to the season's historical peak from late August through October.
In contrast to the Atlantic, a below-normal hurricane season is expected
in the Eastern and Central Pacific.

On the Web:
NOAA: http://www.

surviving mitigation

Since that time all but two
Atlantic hurricane seasons have been above-normal. Gen.S.gov